Bibliography

System Dynamics Articles

• Alker, Hayward R. and Ronald D. Brunner. "Simulating International Conflict: A Comparison of Three Approches." International Studies Quarterly 13, no. 1 (1969): 70-110.
• Anderson Jr, E.G. 2006. A preliminary system dynamics model of insurgency management: The anglo-irish war of 1916-21 as a case study. In the Proceedings of the 2006 International System Dynamics Conference.
• Anderson, E.G., Jr. 2007a. A Proof-of-Concept Model for Evaluating Insurgency Management Policies Using the System Dynamics Methodology. Strategic Insights, 6 (5). Electronic journal, permanent website: <www.ccc.nps.navy.mil/si/>.
• Anderson, E.G., Jr. 2007b. An Initial Simulation Model for Aiding Policy Analysis in Urban Insurgencies. In the Proceedings of the 2007 Winter Simulation Conference by S.G. Henderson, B. Biller, M.-H. Hsieh, J. Shortle, J.D. Tew, and R.R. Barton (eds.).
• Anderson Jr, E.G. 2011. A dynamic model of counterinsurgency policy including the effects of intelligence, public security, popular support, and insurgent experience. System Dynamics Review, 27 (2), 111-41.
• Baker, James, LTC; Systems Thinking and Counterinsurgencies; Parameters, Winter 2006-2007.
• Boz, C. Murat; Basoglu, A. Nuri; Oner, M. Atilla. "System Dynamic Modeling of Conflicts within Turkey and between Turkey and Her Neighbors." Paper presented at the PICMET 2001, 2001.
• Coyle, R.G. 1985. “A Systems Description of Counter Insurgency Warfare.” Policy Sciences 18: 55-78.
• Hazdra, Richard, Lt Col, USAF; “Al Qaeda As A System”; US Army War College; 15 Mar 2006. Retrieved from <https://www.hsdl.org/?view&did=470242> on August 17, 2011.
• Ghaffarzadegan N. 2008. "How a system backfires: dynamics of redundancy problems in security." Risk Analysis 28(6): 1669–1687.
• Grynkewich, A. and C. Reifel. 2006. “Modeling Jihad: A System Dynamics Model of the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat Subsytem.” Strategic Insights 5 (8).
• Lane, D.C. High leverage interventions: Three cases of defensive action and their lessons for or/ms today. Operations Research, 58 (6), 1535-47.
  
• Martinez-Moyano, I.J., E. Rich, S. Conrad, D.F. Andersen, and T.R. Stewart. 2008. A behavioral theory of insider-threat risks: A system dynamics approach. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation (TOMACS), 18 (2), 7.
• Minami, Nathan, Paul Kucik. 2009. “Developing a Dynamic Model of the Iraqi Insurgency”; SpringSim '09 Proceedings of the 2009 Spring Simulation Multiconference.
• Pavlov, O.V., M. Radzicki, and K. Saeed. 2005. Stability in a superpower-dominated global economic system. Journal of Economic Issues, 491-500.
• Peterson, S. 2004. Applying Systems Thinking to Public Policy: The Legacy of Barry Richmond. The Systems Thinker, 15(4): 2-6.
• Pfautz, Stacy Lovell and Michael Salwen; A Hybrid Model of Ethnic Conflict, Repression, Insurgency and Social Strife; (Proceedings fo the 19th Conference on Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation, Charleston, SC, 21-21 March 2010); NSI, Inc., 3811 N. Fairfax Drive, Arlington, VA 22203
• Pierson, B., W. Barge, and C. Crane (2008). The Hairball that Stabilized Iraq: Modeling FM 3-24. Downloaded
• Richardson, J. 2005. Paradise Poisoned. Kandy, Sri Lanka: International Centre for Ethnic Studies.
  Science Quarterly, 42: 237-275.
• Rich, E., I.J. Martinez-Moyano, S. Conrad, D.M. Cappelli, A.P. Moore, T.J. Shimeall, D.F. Andersen, J.J. Gonzalez, R.J. Ellison, and H.F. Lipson. 2005. Simulating insider cyber-threat risks: A model-based case and a case-based model. In Simulating insider cyber-threat risks: A model-based case and a case-based model.
• Saeed, K., and O.V. Pavlov. 2007. Dynastic cycle: A generic structure describing resource allocation in political economies, markets and firms. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 59 (10), 1289-98.
• Schoenwald, David A; Johnson, Curtis; Malczynski, Leonard A; Backus, George A. 2008. "A System Dynamics Perspective on Insurgency as a Business Enterprise." Proceedings of the 2008 International System Dynamics Conference.
• Skarin, B.K. Understanding the Driving Factors of Terrorism. 2002. Unpublished thesis. Retrieved from <http://www.aptima.com/publications/2002_Skarin.pdf> on August 17, 2011.
• Skarin, B., J. Skorinko, K. Saeed, and O. Pavlov. Modeling the cycles of gang and criminal behavior: Understanding the social and economic influences. 2009 International System Dynamics Conference.
• Stroh, P.D. 2002. “A Systemic View of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.” The Systems Thinker, 13(5): 2-7.
• Wils, Annababette, Matilde Kamiya, and Nazil Choucri. "An Integrated Model of Conflict within & between Nations." Systems Dynamic Review 14 (2-3) (1998): 129-162.

Related Modeling Articles

• Casebeer, W.D and J.A. Russell. 2003. Storytelling and Terrorism: Towards a Comprehensive ‘Counter Narrative Strategy’. Strategic Insights 4 (3).
• Coleman, P.T., R. Vallacher, A. Nowak, and L. Ngoc. 2008. Intractable Conflict as an Attractor: Presenting a Dynamical Model of Conflict, Escalation, and Intractability. Downloaded from SSRN on 12-December-2008.
• Kadera, Kelly M. The Power-Conflict Story: A Dynamic Model of Interstate Rivalry. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2001.
• Kadera, Kelly M, Crescenzi, Mark J.C., Shannon, Megan L. "Democratic Survival, Peace, and War in the International System." American Journal of Political Science 47, no. 2 (2003): 234-47.
• Kress, M. and R. Szechtman. Why it is Hard to Defeat Insurgencies: The Effect of Intelligence in Counterinsurgency Operations—A Best Case Scenario. Forthcoming in Operations Research.
• Phillips, M.M. 2009. “Stalemate in Now Zad.” Wall Street Journal, May 23, 2009, p. A1.
• Rossmo, D.K., and K. Harries. 2011." The geospatial structure of terrorist cells." Justice Quarterly, 28 (2), 221-48.